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Why markets have been falling ever since the Fed hiked rates? Why bonds may now provide improved opportunities for investors? Volatility likely isn't going anywhere anytime soon. So, what should investors do? For further details see: Markets Sell Off As Volatility Spikes...
Bullish sentiment fell back below 25% this week but is still several percentage points above the lows in the teens from only a few weeks prior. Although bullish sentiment declined, bearish sentiment also pulled back below 50% for the first time since the week of April 20th. The ye...
Producer prices are rising sharply. YOY for finished consumer food is punishing. Inflation is not abating. For further details see: Producer Prices Index (PPI) April 2022 - Food On Fire
Movements in global sector indices are consistent with investors reappraising portfolio allocations and shifting objectives towards capital preservation in real terms. The volatility in interest rate expectations has flowed into FX markets. We maintain a neutral outlook on global ...
Hard and soft commodities have come under pressure amid a deteriorating global growth landscape (remember: no demand = no backlogs/shortages!). Agriculture has fared better than the Industrial Metals index, but these popular trades over recent months are seeing near-term bearish actio...
A falling market, rising interest rates, inflation, and growth worries are all challenging financial markets. To fight inflation, the Fed is tightening financial conditions, threatening to cause a recession and spooking markets in the process. We believe in deploying a truly activ...
Defensive equities and funds work better in theory than in reality because risk assets of all types tend to fall in bear markets. While bonds have also sold off year-to-date on interest hike fears, at least they have mandated capital return dates and interest payments. Buy and hol...
The U.S. exported $179.5 billion worth of goods in March 2022, while importing $297.0 billion. That makes for a monthly trade deficit of $117.5 billion, which is 14.2% larger than the previous record of $102.9 billion set in November 2021. The biggest portion of the U.S.' record March...
The US equity and fixed income markets are facing challenges due to a slowing US economy along with a significant pivot in monetary policy toward a more hawkish stance. Combating inflation has become a priority, and investor focus has shifted toward the uncertain impact of rising inte...
AIER’s Lagging Indicators index was unchanged for the third consecutive month, holding at 83 in April. Real gross domestic product fell at a 1.4 percent annualized rate in the first quarter versus a 6.9 percent rate of gain in the fourth quarter. The median sales price of a...