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Something interesting is happening on the fringes of the MELA system; Job cuts—remember them? Bond traders have the best noses in the world when it comes to sniffing out recessions. The Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) blew through support at 13,000 before bouncing back on 5/13/22. ...
There is currently much debate in the mainstream media suggesting investors should ignore Fed rate hikes. For the last decade, the primary bullish thesis for chasing equity markets remains “Don’t fight the Fed.”. Selling rallies certainly seems to be the prude...
We see volatility in equities, but volatility in fixed income is even higher than equity. The first thing that many investors look to diversify into in periods of high inflation and rising rates are real assets and real estate, in particular. I think blockchain, as a technology an...
With market sentiment banging against all-time lows, we should not be surprised to see some rather wild swings taking place. Part of this is due to poor volume and part of it can be explained by computer trading exploiting the fear of those shorting the market. Going short in a market...
Fifteen years ago, my chart look-ahead was about three years, to 2010, with the basic idea being that these long-term cycles had already turned or were about to turn. I underestimated the status quo's ability to kick the can down the road for a decade. After 15 years of frantic ca...
Bull market winners find sharp downside momentum in recent months as investors shift preferences. Parallels between the current bear market and that of the dot com bust are evident. Changing central bank moves have led to a global equity reassessment. For further details see...
Crescera Capital Acquisition Corp. went public recently, raising around $201 million in an IPO. The SPAC is headed by Brazilian private equity investors and will focus on undisclosed Latin American industry sectors to find a merger partner. Given the team's lack of previous succes...
Carvana is the perfect example of the bottom falling out unexpectedly. The US Dollar continues to attract capital from investors all over the world. Recovery time varies significantly depending upon the magnitude of the drawdown. For further details see: Sell And Go To C...
Support was broken at 4,100, which quickly saw the S&P 500 trade down below 3,900. There is some support at that level, but there is a more well-defined support level at 3,700. There are massively oversold conditions in put-call ratios, breadth, and New Highs vs. New Lows, but an ...
Among the most challenging aspects of late has been to try and hold a positive medium-term (one- to three-year) view in the midst of very aggressive, downward-facing, fast-moving, cross-asset selloffs. While inflation does seem to have peaked along with expectations and breakevens, th...