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The stock markets over the last two years have been variously nerve-racking and exhilarating depending on who you ask and when. But for behavioral finance aficionados, the COVID-19-era equity markets have offered a rare opportunity to witness an almost never-ending sequence of behavio...
Sentiment remains little changed. Around a quarter of respondents remain in the bullish camp, as has now been the case for three weeks in a row. Bearish sentiment, meanwhile, ticked higher and back above 50% this week. As with bullish sentiment, that is an overwhelmingly pessimistic r...
It’s been another turbulent week in financial markets and there’s nothing to suggest it’s going to ease up any time soon. This week we may have got a clue as markets went into risk-averse mode and the dollar slipped while yields declined and gold rallied. Are rece...
Investing during a recession can be a very difficult and often dangerous prospect. However, it can be done if approached with a bit of strategy and preparation. Risk to investors during an economic recession is high. Historically, markets tend to correct rather sharply during recessio...
Aetherium Acquisition Corp. raised $115 million in a recent U.S. IPO. The SPAC seeks to merge with a target in the Education or EdTech sector focused on the Asia Pacific region, ex-China. While GMFI's management has relevant industry expertise, they don't have a SPAC track record....
Many investors swear by cycles. Unfortunately, there is little to link these supposed cycles to economic theory, other than the link between the business cycle and the cycle of bank credit. The belief in monetary and fiscal stimulation wrongly assumes, among other things, that there a...
Economic growth has probably rebounded from the first quarter’s contraction, based on GDP. Beyond these basic facts, the outlook turns murky. In the realm of high-confidence forecasts, ETI and EMI projections through June, while lower, still indicate a moderate level of growth....
May's PMI data will provide further insights into the extent to which the Ukraine invasion and China's lockdowns are damaging supply chains and adding to inflationary pressures. Growth in the eurozone surprised on the upside in April. A lifting of COVID-19 restrictions facilitated...
The new export orders index from S&P Global's PMI business surveys tracks foreign demand for both goods and services. In a manufacturing company, goods exports are readily quantified as those to be shipped to non-domestic customers. After the initial pandemic downturn in deman...
Latest 12 months wholesale price inflation ran 11%. Walmart and Target have big 2Q earnings misses. Oops! Retail demand does not seem to be the problem. In a market where computers and ETFs have no discernment, everything goes on sale. Retail may be uniquely advantaged when it...