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It’s likely to be another action-packed week despite numerous countries seeing it shortened by bank holidays. The jobs report is typically the highlight when it comes to the first week of the month but there will be competition from the OPEC+ meeting, Bank of Canada rate decisi...
In a bull market, favorable developments lead to price rises and lift investor psychology. Raging bull markets are examples of mass hysteria. At the extreme, thinking and thus behavior become unmoored from reality. Bull markets don’t treat all sectors the same. In bull mark...
High inflation has captured the headlines as of late, particularly as CPI recently hit the highest levels since 1981. Massive government bailout programs sent money directly to households that far exceeded economic activity. With the latest read of the inflation index, the annual ...
Market rates have drifted off their highs. It mostly reflects an easing in inflation expectations. If we move to risk-on, that would provide room for real yields to resume their uptick, ultimately pressuring yields up again too. The US front end remains bubbly though, in part refl...
The retailers reporting this week are painting a different picture than Walmart and Target did last week. The consumer is alive and well, as is this expansion. Stocks are starting to rally on bad news, which is a good indication they are bottoming. Investor sentiment is still ...
Why Canada's consumers are likely to start pulling back on spending in the second half. Rising interest rates will bring a cool spell to Canadian housing for at least a few quarters. Why the fight to tame inflation has central banks walking a tight rope. For further details ...
The past several months as the major indices have entered downtrends have seen an impressive collapse in optimism. Given bulls were hard to find, bearish sentiment ticked up to 53.5%. The bearish camp did not pick up all of the losses in bullish sentiment. For further detail...
U.S. corporate profits before tax and excluding adjustments for capital consumption and inventory valuation rose to a record-high $3,192.5 billion at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate in the first quarter. Earnings per share on a weighted-average twelve-month trailing basis were $210....
The foreign currency value of the dollar has been rising. The nominal broad dollar index of the Federal Reserve shows the dollar has increased by about 9% since its low point a year ago while other indexes register larger gains. The dollar’s appreciation will also have an impac...
The capital asset pricing model is one of the marvels of 20th-century economic scholarship. Holistic Market Model stretches well beyond the boundaries of traditional finance to include accounting, big data and analytics, history, and sociology. Because despite cyclical headwinds a...