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Oil prices are in the triple digits and gas prices at the pump are near record levels too. The only equity market sector that has generated a positive return this year is the energy sector. The current market environment is certainly one of the most difficult ones navigated by inv...
The Federal Reserve panicked last week and spooked investors into the worst week for stocks since the onset of COVID in March 2020. For bonds to rally, we need rates to fall and that will only come with better inflation news and/or weaker economic data. It is a very uncertain time...
Starting a new week with US markets unplugged today offers a moment to review the bear market progress to date. Theoretically, 60% equity and 40% bond benchmark accounts are -20% year to date (assuming 100% reinvestment of all income with no fees or withdrawals). Remember, the ave...
Markets suffered a clean sweep of losses last week. Tightening monetary policy at a time of slowing economic growth is raising fears that a US recession is lurking. Commodities remain the only slice of the major asset classes posting a gain for the trailing one-year period. ...
Last week, there was only one stock price index which rose out of all the S&P 500 indices. The Atlanta Fed’s current GDP reading may soon indicate a flat or contraction estimate, with a possible confirmation by the Federal Reserve on July 28th. The concern bridging the ...
The Fed raised rates by 0.75% yesterday to 1.50% and plans to continue raising rates to at least 2.5% in the next few months. Quantitative Tightening, or QT, is continuing at its announced pace also. While the Fed’s move was hawkish to say the least, this was all expected, ...
Are we heading for a recession? What even is a recession? Is the macro data supportive? For further details see: A Rising Risk Of Recession?
The concerns rest on the fact that global manufacturing growth has weakened amid ongoing supply constraints and soaring prices, leaving growth reliant on the service sector. May saw the S&P Global US Composite PMI fall from 56.0 to a four-month low of 53.6. Although economic g...
Many investors will no doubt appreciate the extra day of peace and quiet after a week of seemingly unrelenting turbulence, and the chance to think ahead as to what may lie in store. Profit margins are what everyone will be focusing on with laser-like intensity in the upcoming earnings...
Inventories of new vehicles at dealers are still desperately short, even as sales have plunged due to vehicle shortages. The number of new vehicles in inventory on dealer lots remained at 1.13 million at the end of May, down by 70%, or by 2.68 million vehicles, from the same period in...